Mortgage Industry Consolidation

November 21st, 2008

by Jon Denovan

The reduction in non‑bank lending, reduced commissions, and decreased lending volumes have led to an increase in amalgamations and business sales.

Many brokers embark on a proposed sale or purchase without understanding the significant risks associated with such a transaction.

In this report we look at three key risks:
taxation;

+  default liability;
+  trail forfeiture.
+ Taxation

The purchase price paid for a loan book will generally be a capital expense and will not be deductible against the income derived from the book. Accordingly, if a purchaser pays $300K for a book, at a 50% tax rate, trail income of double that amount, $600K will be required just to break even.

In calculating a suitable price to pay for a book, an appropriate allowance must be made for the cost of money (because the purchase price is paid up front), the amortisation of the book, and the risk of accelerated churn after a change of manager/broker.

Accordingly, paying one years trail will normally mean an expectation of at least three years trail to make a modest profit, ignoring the cost of managing the book.

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